Track the Live Score for Guardians vs Twins – 5/21/2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Minnesota Twins

As the Minnesota Twins host the Cleveland Guardians on May 21, 2025, both teams are looking to rebound after disappointing losses in their previous outings. The Twins fell to the Guardians by a score of 5-2, while the Guardians lost 3-1 in their last game. This matchup is particularly important as it marks the second game in a series between these American League Central rivals.

In terms of standings, the Twins hold a slight edge with a record of 26-21, while the Guardians are close behind at 25-21. Both teams are having solid seasons, but the Twins are hoping to capitalize on their home-field advantage at Target Field. The projected starters are Chris Paddack for the Twins and Gavin Williams for the Guardians, both right-handed pitchers.

Chris Paddack, ranked 143rd among MLB starters, has had an up-and-down season with a 2-3 record and a 4.05 ERA. Although he pitched exceptionally well in his last start on May 15, going 7 innings with no earned runs, he has struggled with strikeouts, averaging only 3.9 K’s per game. His projections suggest he may allow 2.2 earned runs today, but his tendency to give up hits—averaging 4.9 per game—could be a concern against a Guardians offense that ranks 21st in MLB.

On the other hand, Gavin Williams has been more effective, sitting at 72nd in the rankings with a 3-2 record and a 4.29 ERA. His projections indicate he may also allow 2.2 earned runs, but he boasts a better strikeout rate of 5.7 K’s per game.

With a low Game Total of 7.5 runs, betting markets see this as a closely contested matchup. The Twins’ bullpen ranks 4th in MLB, which could provide a crucial advantage late in the game. As both teams look to bounce back, expect a tightly fought battle that could hinge on the performances of these two starting pitchers.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Compared to the average hurler, Tanner Bibee has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 5.7 adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  The Cleveland Guardians bullpen ranks as the 8th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Joe Ryan – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Joe Ryan’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (65.7 compared to 54.4% last year) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.