
St. Louis Cardinals
@

San Francisco Giants
+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Out of all starting pitchers, Michael McGreevy’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph is in the 17th percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Jordan Walker has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 97.6-mph over the last week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Thomas Saggese – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Thomas Saggese has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-175/+135)Logan Webb has been given an above-average leash this year, recording 5.7 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Shay Whitcomb, Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+100)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+13.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 away games (+14.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-145/+115)Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
