Tickets Information for Guardians vs D-Backs – August 19, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

@

Arizona Diamondbacks

As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare for their matchup against the Cleveland Guardians on August 19, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions within the standings. The Diamondbacks, with a record of 60-66, are having a below-average season, while the Guardians boast a more favorable 64-60 record, indicating an above-average performance this year. The importance of this series is heightened, as the teams have already faced off once in this series, with the Diamondbacks falling 3-1 to the Guardians in their last game.

Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to start for the Diamondbacks, bringing with him a mixed bag of performance metrics. Although he has started 21 games this year, his 5-7 record and a 5.40 ERA reflect struggles on the mound. However, advanced projections suggest he may have been unlucky, with a lower 4.36 xFIP indicating potential for better outcomes moving forward. His last start was notably impressive, going 7 innings with just 1 earned run, 6 strikeouts, and 1 walk.

On the other side, Tanner Bibee is set to take the mound for the Guardians. With a record of 9-9 and an ERA of 4.54, he’s been a solid contributor to Cleveland’s success. His performance in his latest outing, where he threw 6 innings allowing 2 earned runs, showcases his capability. Bibee’s flyball tendency could play into the hands of the Diamondbacks, who rank 4th in MLB in home runs this season with 176 long balls.

Despite the Diamondbacks’ better offensive ranking at 4th best across MLB, they have an implied team total of 4.40 runs for today’s game, suggesting they might capitalize on Bibee’s vulnerabilities. With the Diamondbacks eyeing a bounce-back performance after their recent loss, this matchup promises to be an intriguing contest.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Tanner Bibee’s four-seamer rate has decreased by 16% from last season to this one (43.4% to 27.4%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Angel Martinez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
  Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  The Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 4th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-120)
  Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Run Line +1.0 (-145)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 45% ROI)