Stream the Guardians vs Athletics Game Live – 6/21/2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Athletics

As the Cleveland Guardians visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics on June 21, 2025, both teams are looking to build momentum after contrasting performances in their last matchup, where the Athletics triumphed with a solid 5-1 victory. The Guardians, currently sitting at 37-37, have been struggling to find their rhythm, ranking 25th in offensive performance this season. Meanwhile, the Athletics, despite their 32-46 record, boast the 9th best offense in MLB, highlighting their potential to score runs despite an overall tough season.

In this matchup, Athletics’ pitcher Mitch Spence is projected to start against the Guardians’ Luis Ortiz. Spence, who has a respectable 3.50 ERA this season, is coming off a good outing where he allowed just 1 earned run over 5 innings on June 16. However, his high xERA of 4.79 suggests he may be living on borrowed time, making this game critical for him to prove his worth. On the other hand, Ortiz, with a 4.64 ERA and a troubling last start where he gave up 6 earned runs, will need to rebound against a potent Athletics lineup that has launched 98 home runs this season.

The Athletics’ offensive power is complemented by their strong recent performances, particularly from their best hitter, who has been on fire lately with a .321 batting average and an impressive 1.273 OPS over the past week. The projections indicate that this game could be high-scoring, with a total set at 9.5 runs, reflecting the potential for both teams to capitalize on each other’s weaknesses.

In a matchup that could tilt the scales in favor of the Athletics, who are currently undervalued in the betting market with a moneyline of +110, this game presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking for value. The Guardians, while favored with a -130 moneyline, will need to rectify their recent struggles at the plate to stay competitive.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  Luis L. Ortiz is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #8 HR venue in the league — today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Extreme flyball bats like Jose Ramirez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Spence.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Cleveland Guardians have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Lane Thomas, Nolan Jones, Gabriel Arias, Bo Naylor).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Athletics Insights

• Mitch Spence – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Mitch Spence has gone to his curveball 5% more often this year (16.7%) than he did last year (11.7%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen grades out as the 7th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+130/-170)
  Brent Rooker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)