See the Starting Lineup for Tigers vs Athletics – August 27, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Athletics

The Oakland Athletics host the Detroit Tigers in a matchup on August 27, 2025, at Sutter Health Park. The Tigers are riding high after their last outing, securing a vital win against the Athletics, who find themselves struggling to find consistent success this season. With a record of 61-72, the Athletics are having a below-average year, while the Tigers boast a strong 78-55 record, indicating their position among the league’s competitive teams.

On the mound, Oakland’s Luis Morales is projected to start. While he holds an excellent ERA of 1.72, advanced statistics suggest he may have been a bit lucky, as his 4.48 xFIP indicates he could struggle moving forward. Morales has only logged 3 starts this year and is expected to pitch around 4.7 innings, which leaves the Athletics vulnerable if he falters early. In contrast, Casey Mize of the Tigers is showing strong form with a record of 12-4 and a decent ERA of 3.68. Although his performance isn’t off the charts, he does project to pitch around 5.2 innings today.

At the plate, Oakland’s offense is performing surprisingly well, ranking 8th in MLB with a solid batting average. The Athletics’ ability to drive in runs, particularly with their 5th rank in team home runs, could exploit Mize’s weaknesses. Oakland’s best hitter recently displayed impressive form, collecting 10 hits with a .455 batting average over the last week.

Conversely, Detroit’s offense is 10th overall, but it struggles in stolen bases, ranking last in the league. This game is crucial given both teams’ aspirations, and with the Athletics presenting significant power potential, there’s a chance they could outpace expectations in this contest. The current game total is set at a lofty 10.5 runs, indicating that both offenses could capitalize on the opposing pitchers’ vulnerabilities.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Casey Mize – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Casey Mize’s 94-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.4-mph fall off from last year’s 95.4-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  In today’s matchup, Spencer Torkelson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (96th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics Insights

• Luis Morales – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
  Compared to the average starter, Luis Morales has been granted a below-average leash this year, throwing an -7.1 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Despite posting a .434 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has had some very good luck given the .081 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• The Athletics (25% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy set of hitters on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
  The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 44 of their last 70 games (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 100 games (+11.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)