See the Starting Lineup for Dodgers vs Brewers – July 08, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Milwaukee Brewers

On July 8, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at American Family Field in what promises to be an exciting matchup between two competitive teams. The Brewers enter this game with a record of 51-40, showing they have had a solid season. Conversely, the Dodgers boast a more impressive record of 56-36. In their last game against each other, the Dodgers pulled off a convincing victory, further asserting their dominance in this series, which is only in its second game.

Starting for the Brewers is Jacob Misiorowski, a right-handed pitcher who’s had a mixed performance thus far. He carries a 3-1 record and a great ERA of 3.20, although his 3.98 xFIP indicates potential regression. Misiorowski projects to pitch around 4.3 innings while allowing approximately 2.3 earned runs today, which would be disappointing for the Brewers. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw, a veteran lefty with a sterling 4-0 record and a solid ERA of 3.43. Kershaw’s average projection of 5.2 innings pitched suggests he will be a reliable presence on the mound.

Offensively, the Dodgers rank as the 1st best offense in MLB, with a particular strength in their power game—leading the league with 141 home runs. In contrast, the Brewers are ranked 16th overall, and while they excel in stolen bases, they have struggled to generate consistent power, ranking 22nd in home runs.

Given the current odds, the projections suggest that the Brewers may have a better chance than they are being given credit for. They are expected to score around 4.10 runs, and given both teams’ capabilities, this matchup could be closer than the odds might imply.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Because flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Clayton Kershaw (44.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected batting order.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 55.5% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Caleb Durbin’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 84.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81-mph over the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Milwaukee Brewers (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of the day.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Clayton Kershaw has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.85 Units / 66% ROI)