See the Score for Guardians vs Orioles Game – April 16th, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Baltimore Orioles

On April 16, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles will host the Cleveland Guardians at Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the second game of their series. Following a loss to the Guardians yesterday, the Orioles are currently struggling with a 6-10 record this season, positioning them as one of the weaker teams in the league. In contrast, the Guardians have shown promise with a 9-7 record, which reflects their better overall performance.

The matchup features Orioles’ right-hander Dean Kremer, who has had a rough start to the season, sporting an ERA of 8.16 and a Power Rankings position of #151 among MLB starters. Despite being projected to pitch 5.5 innings today, his peripherals suggest he may have been unlucky, as indicated by his xFIP of 4.40. However, his below-average strikeout rate of 4.9 K’s per game raises concerns.

On the other side, the Guardians will send out Gavin Williams, whose 3.46 ERA and #63 rank highlight his above-average capabilities. Although Williams’s projection of 4.9 innings is concerning, he has been effective thus far, allowing just 2.4 earned runs on average. His high walk rate could be an issue, especially against an Orioles offense that ranks #2 in the league for least walks drawn.

Offensively, the Orioles sit at #17 in MLB rankings, while the Guardians are slightly behind at #19. However, Baltimore’s power numbers rank even lower, at #18 for home runs and a dismal #23 in stolen bases, which may hinder their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Given the Guardians’ #1 ranked bullpen, they may have the advantage in late-game situations, which could play a crucial role in what is expected to be a tightly contested matchup. The projected Game Total of 8.5 runs suggests a modest scoring affair, and with the Orioles’ current moneyline set at -135, they may pull off a close win today.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Gavin Williams – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Gavin Williams’s slider usage has risen by 20% from last year to this one (11.3% to 31.3%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Kyle Manzardo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last year’s 92-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Gavin Williams – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
  Over his previous 3 outings, Dean Kremer has recorded a monstrous ERA of 8.16.
  Explain: A pitcher who has struggled in his most recent outings may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Baltimore Orioles hitters as a group rank among the best in the majors since the start of last season (3rd-) when assessing their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1500/-50000)
  Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+24.00 Units / 480% ROI)