See the Score for Guardians vs Orioles Game – April 16th, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles will host the Cleveland Guardians on April 16, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles are struggling this season with a record of 6-10, while the Guardians sit at a respectable 9-7. In their previous game on April 15, the Orioles fell to the Guardians by a score of 6-3, marking a tough loss for a team that has been unable to find its footing.

Dean Kremer is projected to take the mound for Baltimore. Despite being ranked the 147th best starting pitcher in MLB, Kremer has had a rough start to the season with an ERA of 8.16. However, his xFIP of 4.46 suggests he may have been unlucky, and he projects to allow only 2.3 earned runs today, which could bode well for the Orioles. His ability to limit walks (1.9 walks projected) will be crucial against a Guardians lineup that has shown some offensive prowess.

On the other side, Gavin Williams will pitch for Cleveland. Ranked 61st among MLB starters, Williams has a solid ERA of 3.46 and is coming off a strong performance in which he allowed just one earned run in five innings. However, he has struggled with control, boasting a high walk rate of 10.7%. This could be problematic against an Orioles offense that ranks as the 2nd least-walked in MLB, potentially giving Williams an edge.

The Guardians’ bullpen is currently ranked 1st in MLB, which could play a significant role if the game remains close. Meanwhile, the Orioles’ offense, while average, has the potential to capitalize on any mistakes from Williams. With the game total set at 8.0 runs, betting markets imply a close contest, making this matchup one to watch closely.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Gavin Williams – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Gavin Williams’s slider usage has risen by 20% from last year to this one (11.3% to 31.3%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Kyle Manzardo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last year’s 92-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Gavin Williams – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
  Over his previous 3 outings, Dean Kremer has recorded a monstrous ERA of 8.16.
  Explain: A pitcher who has struggled in his most recent outings may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Baltimore Orioles hitters as a group rank among the best in the majors since the start of last season (3rd-) when assessing their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1400/-20000)
  Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+24.00 Units / 480% ROI)