Live Stream for Mariners vs Angels Game – Sunday, April 5, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

Los Angeles Angels

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Luis Castillo – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Luis Castillo has been given more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 4.2 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Luke Raley – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• George Klassen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, George Klassen will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Soler, Jeimer Candelario, Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Mike Trout).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 away games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+165/-215)
  Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)