See Picks and Betting Line for Cardinals vs Marlins – Monday, April 20, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Miami Marlins

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Michael McGreevy – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Michael McGreevy has recorded 16.8 outs per start since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Pedro Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Pedro Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
  Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)
  Max Meyer’s slider rate has increased by 5.1% from last season to this one (46.8% to 51.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Owen Caissie – Over/Under Total Bases
  Owen Caissie has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.4-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Owen Caissie, Heriberto Hernandez).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts