Royals vs White Sox Game Time – 6/07/2025

Kansas City Royals

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to face the Kansas City Royals on June 7, 2025, they’re looking to bounce back from a disheartening season. With a record of 21-43, the White Sox have struggled significantly, ranking 28th in MLB in both team batting average and home runs. In contrast, the Royals sit at 33-31, boasting a solid offensive performance with a respectable 12th rank in team batting average, even if they languish at 30th in home runs.

In their last matchup, the White Sox fell short against the Royals, and now they aim to turn things around in this second game of the series. Projected starters Adrian Houser and Michael Wacha present a compelling narrative for bettors. While Houser has an impressive ERA of 1.47 this season, advanced metrics suggest he may regress, with a higher xFIP of 3.62. His performance has been characterized by low strikeouts, which could spell trouble against a Royals offense that also struggles to make contact.

On the other hand, Wacha’s 2.88 ERA reflects a more favorable outlook, despite his own inflated xFIP of 4.29. With Wacha projected to pitch 5.4 innings and allow about 2.5 earned runs, he presents a more stable option for Kansas City. The projections favor the Royals for this matchup, but the White Sox, as underdogs with a moneyline of +125, could defy expectations if they can capitalize on their home advantage and find some offensive rhythm.

With the game total set at 8.0 runs, bettors will want to keep an eye on how well each pitcher can manage their respective lineups. Ultimately, the Royals come in with the advantage, but the unpredictability of baseball could make for an exciting contest at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Drew Waters – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Drew Waters has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 91.7-mph over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Kansas City Royals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Tim Elko – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Extreme flyball batters like Timothy Elko generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Wacha.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-140)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 56 games (+22.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• Mike Tauchman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)
  Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)