Minnesota Twins
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Los Angeles Angels
-135O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Taj Bradley – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)Compared to the average starter, Taj Bradley has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 7.1 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Josh Bell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)Josh Bell has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Minnesota Twins as a unit place 26th- overall in the league this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.Explain: If a player can hit the ball hard even once, it has great predictive power over his ability to do it again. If he’s never hit the ball hard, it’s a sign of a lack of power.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Walbert Urena – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Walbert Urena has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.8% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Minnesota’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Mike Trout, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.