Reds vs Pirates Matchup Preview and Score Prediction – 6/27/2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Chase Burns – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Chase Burns will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Elly De La Cruz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Cincinnati Reds (23.6% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Jared Jones – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Jared Jones’s 98.1-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 99th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the 10th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)