Recommended Player Prop Bets for Athletics vs Brewers – Sunday April 20, 2025

Athletics

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Milwaukee Brewers

As the Milwaukee Brewers take on the Oakland Athletics on April 20, 2025, they do so following a tight contest yesterday, where the Athletics secured a 3-1 victory over the Brewers. This marks the third game in their current series, and with both teams hovering around .500, the stakes are significant in proving their mettle as they seek to gain momentum.

The Brewers currently hold an 11-10 record, performing above average this season, while the Athletics sit at 10-11, indicating a below-average start. Statistically, the Brewers possess a somewhat troubling offense ranked 23rd overall, while the Athletics have performed better, ranking 8th in the league. This disparity in offensive capabilities may play a pivotal role in today’s matchup.

On the mound, Logan Henderson is slated to start for Milwaukee. Although ranked as the 120th best pitcher, his projections suggest he might struggle today, as he is expected to pitch only 4.7 innings while allowing 2.2 earned runs. Meanwhile, Jeffrey Springs of Oakland has demonstrated more consistency with a 3-1 record and a respectable 4.50 ERA. Despite his average performance, Springs’ xERA of 3.80 hints at potential improvement moving forward.

With the Brewers’ offense expected to score an implied 4.50 runs, and coupled with Henderson’s underwhelming projections, oddsmakers view this as a competitive tilt. Given the context of their respective performances and the fact that the Athletics possess a stronger offensive lineup, this game could lean toward Oakland if the Brewers can’t find a way to generate more offense against an average pitcher like Springs. As both teams aim to capitalize on this critical interleague matchup, expect a game where offense may dictate the outcome.

Athletics Insights

• Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Extreme flyball batters like Brent Rooker tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Henderson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
  Sal Frelick has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Rating 2nd-highest in the majors since the start of last season, Milwaukee Brewers bats as a group have recorded a 16.3° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced standard to evaluate power skills).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)
• Eric Haase – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+170/-225)
  Eric Haase has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)