
St. Louis Cardinals
@

Cincinnati Reds
+125O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-145
(-110/-110)-145
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)The Cincinnati Reds have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Nathan Church – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Nathan Church is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (-145)Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Sal Stewart – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Sal Stewart has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 74% ROI)
