Read the Boxscore for Giants vs Pirates – Wednesday August 6th, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

As the Pittsburgh Pirates prepare to host the San Francisco Giants on August 6, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in their respective seasons. The Pirates are currently struggling with a record of 49-65, marking them as one of the worst teams in MLB, while the Giants sit at a more average 57-57. In their last matchup, the Giants convincingly defeated the Pirates 8-1, and with this being the third game of the series, Pittsburgh is eager to turn the tide.

Pittsburgh will send Andrew Heaney to the mound, who has had a rough season with a record of 5-9 and an ERA of 4.89. Heaney’s recent performance has been less than stellar, as he only managed to complete 3 innings with 3 earned runs in his last start on August 1. On the flip side, San Francisco counters with Robbie Ray, who boasts an impressive 9-5 record and a stellar ERA of 2.85. Ray has also shown his prowess in his last outing, going 7 innings with just 1 earned run allowed.

Interestingly, while the Pirates’ offense ranks 30th in MLB for both overall production and home runs, the projections suggest that the Giants’ lineup, despite being ranked 24th, has the potential to exploit this matchup. With a high implied run total of 4.33 runs for the Giants compared to the Pirates’ low total of 3.67, this tilt favors San Francisco’s chances.

As the game unfolds at PNC Park, all eyes will be on whether the Pirates can muster any offense against a solid pitcher like Ray, while the Giants will look to capitalize on their recent success.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Robbie Ray – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  Robbie Ray has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.4 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Rafael Devers may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• San Francisco Giants batters as a unit grade out 26th- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 7.6% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Andrew Heaney – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Andrew Heaney’s four-seam fastball rate has dropped by 5.6% from last season to this one (49.9% to 44.3%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Joey Bart – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  In terms of his home runs, Joey Bart has suffered from bad luck this year. His 2.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.3.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Joey Bart – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Today, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (88th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 81 games (+18.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
  Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 42% ROI)