Player Predictions Overview for Nationals vs Pirates - 4/13/2026

+185O/U: 7.5
(-120/+100)-215

Cade Cavalli – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165/+130)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in this game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jacob Young – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Jacob Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline
The Washington Nationals bullpen projects as the worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Paul Skenes – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Out of all starters, Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity of 97.4 mph is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
Brandon Lowe’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 91-mph EV last year has fallen off to 82.7-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Ryan O’Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Pittsburgh Pirates – Moneyline (-215)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Washington Nationals – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Nick Yorke – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
Nick Yorke has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)

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