Player Analysis for Orioles vs Angels – June 22, 2026

Baltimore Orioles

@

Los Angeles Angels

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Kyle Bradish has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 3.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)
  Extreme flyball bats like Blaze Alexander usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Samuel Aldegheri.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Compared to their .335 overall projected rate, the .321 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Baltimore Orioles projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup considerably a bit watered down.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Samuel Aldegheri – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  The Baltimore Orioles have 8 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Sam Aldegheri today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Denzer Guzman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Denzer Guzman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+210/-285)
  Zach Neto has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.85 Units / 131% ROI)