Pirates vs Cardinals Betting Guide – 8/29/26

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Kyle Leahy
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Kyle Leahy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Leahy meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Gorman, Joshua Baez, Jimmy Crooks).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110/-120)
  Jake Mangum has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.50 Units / 66% ROI)