Official Lineup for Red Sox vs Yankees – 6/08/2025

Boston Red Sox

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New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Boston Red Sox on June 8, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, both teams are coming into this matchup with contrasting fortunes. The Yankees currently sit in a strong position in the American League East with a record of 39-24, while the Red Sox linger behind at 31-35, struggling to find their rhythm this season. In their last game, the Yankees achieved a commanding victory, showcasing their powerful offense, which ranks 1st in MLB.

On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start Carlos Rodon, who has been excellent this year with an 8-3 record and a stellar 2.49 ERA. Rodon’s high strikeout rate of 31.6% is particularly noteworthy as he faces a Red Sox lineup that is notably prone to striking out, ranking 2nd in MLB in that category. This matchup could play to Rodon’s strengths, giving the Yankees an edge.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox will counter with Hunter Dobbins, who has had a less impressive season thus far, posting a 2-1 record with a 4.06 ERA. Dobbins has shown good control with a low walk rate, which could mitigate some of the Yankees’ strengths as they rank 1st in MLB in walks. However, his projections indicate a tough outing, as he’s expected to pitch only 4.4 innings while allowing 2.5 earned runs.

Given the Yankees’ offensive prowess and Rodon’s strong form, they are favored heavily in this matchup, currently listed at a moneyline of -210. With an implied team total of 4.99 runs, the Yankees are expected to capitalize on the Red Sox’s pitching vulnerabilities. As the rivalry continues, fans can anticipate a thrilling game with implications for both teams’ standings in the league.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Hunter Dobbins has been granted less leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an -10.8 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Trevor Story – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Trevor Story is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Trevor Story – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Carlos Rodon – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Carlos Rodon’s four-seamer utilization has decreased by 8.2% from last season to this one (49.4% to 41.2%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 100.5-mph mark last season has fallen off to 98.3-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected batting order today (.333 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly worse than their .347 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+9.07 Units / 15% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (+120)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+100/-130)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)