
Seattle Mariners
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Los Angeles Angels
-165O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+140
(-110/-110)+140
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-165)The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Brendan Donovan – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+175)Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Bryan Woo – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Reid Detmers – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Reid Detmers is expected to tally an average of 16.3 outs in today’s game.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)This year, there has been a decline in Zach Neto’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.09 ft/sec last year to 24.14 ft/sec currently.Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
- Los Angeles Angels – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Angels bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 away games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Naylor – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 111% ROI)
