Official Lineup for Dodgers vs D-Backs - 6/04/2026

-140O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+120

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Justin Wrobleski’s 2429-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 82nd percentile among all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Freddie Freeman is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (39% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+120)
The 2nd-weakest projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (+115)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)

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