
Tampa Bay Rays
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Atlanta Braves
+110O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-130
(-105/-115)-130
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+110)The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jonny DeLuca – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)Jonny DeLuca has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Tampa Bay Rays today has an estimated true talent wOBA of .305, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .320 this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Martín Pérez – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)Martin Perez has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 8.1 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Betting Trends
- Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+110)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Olson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 37% ROI)
