Mariners vs Dodgers Betting Guide – 7/30/26

Seattle Mariners

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Bryan Woo’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (34.7% vs. 27.2% last season) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Cal Raleigh has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  The Seattle Mariners bullpen ranks as the 10th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Roki Sasaki’s 97.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.7-mph increase from last season’s 95.4-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.3-mph figure last season has fallen off to 85.4-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+130/-170)
  Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)