Mariners vs Dodgers Betting Guide – 7/30/26

Seattle Mariners

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Bryan Woo’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (34.7% vs. 27.2% last season) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Seattle Mariners collectively rank 21st- overall in MLB this year as it relates to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.
  Explain: If a player can hit the ball hard even once, it has great predictive power over his ability to do it again. If he’s never hit the ball hard, it’s a sign of a lack of power.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Roki Sasaki’s 97.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.7-mph increase from last season’s 95.4-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Teoscar Hernandez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 77-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+185/-245)
  J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)