Live Updates on Orioles vs Dodgers – 6/20/26

Baltimore Orioles

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  In today’s matchup, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (92nd percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-290)
  Yoshinobu Yamamoto is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in MLB — in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-260/+195)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shohei Ohtani as the 8th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Compared to their .348 overall projected rate, the .337 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-265)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+115/-150)
  Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)