Live Updates on Orioles vs Dodgers – 6/20/26

Baltimore Orioles

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  In today’s matchup, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (92nd percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-260)
  Yoshinobu Yamamoto is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in MLB — in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+200/-265)
  As it relates to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 17th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• The underlying talent of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order today (.317 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .340 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-255)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 66% ROI)