Live Stream for Tigers vs Mariners Game - Sunday, October 5, 2025

-150O/U: 6
(+100/-120)+130

Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
The Seattle Mariners have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
Over the last two weeks, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
The 9.5% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers ranks them as the #7 offense in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Luis Castillo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
Luis Castillo’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (94.3 mph) below where it was last year (95.5 mph).
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Eugenio Suarez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 96-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (+130)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games at home (+15.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 162 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Josh Naylor – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)
Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 71% ROI)

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