Live Stream Details for Royals vs Tigers – Friday, August 22, 2025

Kansas City Royals

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Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers will host the Kansas City Royals on August 22, 2025, at Comerica Park in an American League Central clash. With the Tigers standing at 76-53, they are enjoying a strong season, recently coming off a victory where they won 7-2 against the Royals. Meanwhile, the Royals, currently 66-62, have also been competitive, winning their last game 6-4.

On the mound, the Tigers are slated to start Casey Mize, a right-hander with a 12-4 record and a solid 3.63 ERA this season. While Mize has had a respectable year, he’s projected to struggle today, allowing an average of 2.5 earned runs, 5.1 hits, and 1.3 walks. Conversely, Ryan Bergert will take the hill for the Royals. Despite his mediocre 1-1 record, Bergert boasts an impressive 2.75 ERA, although advanced statistics suggest he may not maintain this level of performance moving forward.

The Tigers’ offense ranks 10th in MLB, with a solid power display highlighted by their 9th rank in home runs. However, they are ranked 30th in stolen bases, indicating some limitations on the base paths. The Royals’ offense, ranked 24th overall, has struggled with power, sitting at 27th in home runs.

With both teams looking to capitalize on their recent performances, the Tigers enter as favorites with a moneyline of -155, while the Royals sit at +135. Given that Casey Mize is facing a Royals offense that ranks as the 2nd least patient in terms of walks, he may be able to take advantage of their aggressiveness. The Game Total is set at 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a competitive matchup.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Ryan Bergert – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Among all starters, Ryan Bergert’s fastball spin rate of 2401 rpm is in the 76th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  As it relates to his home runs, Salvador Perez has had bad variance on his side this year. His 26.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.9.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• The 7.7% Barrel% of the Kansas City Royals ranks them as the #25 group of hitters in Major League Baseball this year by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Casey Mize – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Casey Mize is expected to post an average of 16 outs in today’s matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Javier Baez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Javier Baez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 14 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 79 of their last 128 games (+25.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+420/-660)
  Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+32.70 Units / 363% ROI)