Live Score for Rays vs Blue Jays – May 15th, 2025

Tampa Bay Rays

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Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to host the Tampa Bay Rays on May 15, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing American League East matchup. Both teams are looking to turn their seasons around, with the Blue Jays sitting at a modest 21-21, while the Rays have struggled to a record of 19-23. Toronto’s recent 4-3 victory over Tampa Bay brought some much-needed momentum, as they aim to capitalize on their strong bullpen, which ranks 5th best in MLB according to advanced metrics.

Kevin Gausman is projected to take the mound for the Blue Jays, bringing a steady performance this season with a 3-3 record and a solid ERA of 3.97. Gausman has shown signs of being unlucky, evidenced by his FIP of 3.29, suggesting he may be due for a breakout game. His ability to strike out an average of 6.0 batters per game could be crucial against a Rays lineup that ranks 23rd in overall offense.

On the other side, Zack Littell, who has struggled with a 2-5 record and an ERA of 4.40, faces a Blue Jays offense that, while currently ranking 15th in team batting average, has not been able to convert hits into home runs effectively—ranking 26th in that category. Littell’s low strikeout percentage could play to Toronto’s advantage, as they are among the least-strikeout-prone teams in MLB.

With the Blue Jays favored at -165 and an implied team total of 4.46 runs, expect them to lean on their bullpen and Gausman’s skills to secure another win against the struggling Rays. The game total is set at a moderate 8.0 runs, which reflects the potential for a competitive game, but with the Blue Jays’ recent form and the strengths of their pitching, they are positioned well to take the series lead.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Zack Littell – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Zack Littell’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (65% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Kameron Misner – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Kameron Misner is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The 7% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays makes them the #27 club in the league this year by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  Kevin Gausman was rolling in his last GS and allowed 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Daulton Varsho has been hot of late, bashing 5 HRs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+145)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+8.45 Units / 83% ROI)
• Jose Caballero – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+190/-255)
  Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)