Learn About D-Backs vs Phillies Picks and Betting Trends - Sunday April 12, 2026

+120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-145

Zac Gallen – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Compared to the average pitcher, Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an extra 5.6 adjusted pitches each outing.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Arizona Diamondbacks hitters jointly rank 10th- in the game for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 9% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-250)
Bryce Harper has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .260 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

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