Latest Player Stats for Marlins vs Tigers - Friday April 10, 2026

+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135

Chris Paddack – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
Chris Paddack’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (65.3% vs. 50.9% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Jakob Marsee has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 0% this year.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
The 8% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins ranks them as the #23 club in baseball since the start of last season by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
In his previous game started, Keider Montero performed well and gave up 2 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Colt Keith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Colt Keith’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 95-mph now compared to just 90.1-mph then.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+115)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)

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