Injuries Update for Guardians vs White Sox – August 08, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Guardians on August 8, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in a season that has not been kind to either. The White Sox, currently at 42-73, have struggled significantly this year, ranking as the 29th best offense in MLB. Conversely, the Guardians hold a better record at 59-55, although they too sit at the bottom tier offensively, ranking 28th overall.

In their last outing, the Guardians narrowly lost to the White Sox, adding to the drama of this rivalry as they prepare for their first matchup in this series. On the mound, the White Sox are expected to start Aaron Civale, who has had a challenging season with a 3-6 record and a 3.99 ERA. However, his advanced metrics suggest he may have been fortunate this year, as evidenced by a 4.84 xFIP, indicating potential struggles ahead. Civale’s performance this season has projected him to allow 2.5 earned runs over 5.2 innings, which could be a problem against a Guardians lineup still seeking to break out offensively.

For Cleveland, Tanner Bibee takes the hill, boasting a more respectable 7-9 record with a 4.51 ERA. The projections indicate that he could perform better than his current numbers suggest, as he has been somewhat unlucky this season. Bibee’s ability to maintain an average of 5.8 innings pitched could prove crucial, especially against a White Sox offense that has ranked poorly in multiple categories.

With a Game Total set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians are favored with a moneyline of -165, while the White Sox sit at +140. Given the current trends and pitching matchups, this game is pivotal for both teams to gain a foothold and build on their respective narratives as the season unfolds.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Tanner Bibee’s 2250-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a sizeable 111-rpm decrease from last year’s 2361-rpm figure.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
• Bo Naylor – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Jones, Collin Kayfus, Gabriel Arias).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Generating 15 outs per outing this year on average, Aaron Civale ranks in the 25th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Colson Montgomery has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen profiles as the 6th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games at home (+17.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-165)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-210)
  Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)