Injuries Update for Guardians vs White Sox – August 08, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians on August 8, 2025, both teams are looking to establish momentum in what has been a challenging season. The White Sox, at 42-73, have struggled significantly, while the Guardians hold a record of 59-55, placing them in a better position. In their last matchup, the White Sox fell to the Guardians by a score of 4-3, adding to their woes as they seek to turn things around.

The White Sox are projected to start Aaron Civale, who has had a rollercoaster season. Despite a decent ERA of 3.99, Civale’s xFIP of 4.84 suggests he has been a bit lucky, and his recent performance reflects a mixed bag of results. In his last outing, he pitched 6 innings of shutout ball, fanning 8 batters, which showcases his potential despite a 3-6 record. On the other hand, Tanner Bibee is set to take the mound for the Guardians. With a 7-9 record and an ERA of 4.51, Bibee has been average, but projections indicate he could perform better than his current stats suggest.

Offensively, both teams have struggled this season. The White Sox rank 29th in the league in batting average and 24th in home runs, indicating a lack of firepower. Conversely, the Guardians are not much better, ranking 28th in overall offense and dead last in batting average. While the Guardians are favored with a moneyline of -140, the advanced projections indicate they might outperform their odds.

With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, this matchup could be a low-scoring affair. The White Sox’s poor offensive showing, combined with Civale’s recent uptick in form, could lead to a competitive game despite the odds stacked against them.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Tanner Bibee’s 2250-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a sizeable 111-rpm decrease from last year’s 2361-rpm figure.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
• Daniel Schneemann – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Daniel Schneemann is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Positioned steepest in the league this year, Cleveland Guardians hitters collectively have posted a 16.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power).
  Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  Generating 15 outs per outing this year on average, Aaron Civale ranks in the 25th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Colson Montgomery has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen profiles as the 8th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games at home (+17.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-135)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Kyle Teel – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+610/-1200)
  Kyle Teel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 111% ROI)