How to Watch D-Backs vs Dodgers – Friday, March 27, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Ryne Nelson – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-165/+125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ryne Nelson to have a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Alek Thomas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Extreme groundball batters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• It may be wise to expect worse results for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Shohei Ohtani’s 23.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen projects as the best in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games (+12.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+165)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 146 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• Jordan Lawlar – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-145/+110)
  Jordan Lawlar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+9.45 Units / 99% ROI)