How to Watch Angels vs Athletics - Tuesday, September 22, 2026

-110O/U: 9.5
(-105/-115)-110

Yusei Kikuchi – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-150)
Yusei Kikuchi has tallied 14.3 outs per start this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Wade Meckler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Wade Meckler is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Brady Basso – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Brady Basso has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 54.2% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Jonah Heim – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Jonah Heim’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82-mph in the past two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Compared to their .331 overall projected rate, the .297 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Athletics projected batting order in this game suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Jonah Heim – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
Jonah Heim has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)

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