Giants vs Orioles Injury Report - Friday, April 10, 2026

+105O/U: 8.5
(+100/-120)-125

Landen Roupp – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Landen Roupp’s curveball usage has decreased by 13.8% from last year to this one (35.7% to 21.9%) .
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Luis Arraez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 6.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
Harrison Bader – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Shane Baz – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
Shane Baz’s 96.3-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 89th percentile out of all SPs.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
This year, Taylor Ward’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 14.1% last year to just 0% this year.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Collectively, Baltimore Orioles batters rank as the 7th-slowest in baseball at 26.57 ft/sec, via Statcast’s Sprint Speed statistic.
Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.

Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-150)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
San Francisco Giants – Run Line +1.5 (-200)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)

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