Get Tickets Information for Tigers vs Pirates – 7/23/2025

Detroit Tigers

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Pittsburgh Pirates

As the Pittsburgh Pirates prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on July 23, 2025, the stakes are high in this Interleague matchup. The Pirates are struggling this season with a record of 42-61, while the Tigers are enjoying a strong campaign at 60-43. Notably, in their last game on July 22, the Pirates managed to secure a win against the Tigers, overcoming them 8-5, which may provide a psychological boost as they look to build on that success.

Pittsburgh will send Bailey Falter to the mound, a left-handed pitcher who has had a mixed season with a 6-5 record and a respectable ERA of 4.00. However, advanced metrics suggest he may have been somewhat lucky, as his xFIP sits at 4.95, indicating potential struggles ahead. Falter’s low strikeout rate (14.8 K%) could be a concern against a Tigers offense that ranks 5th in strikeouts, but it could also play to his advantage, given the Tigers’ tendency to swing and miss.

On the other side, Detroit will counter with Troy Melton, a right-handed pitcher who has also faced his share of difficulties this season. The projections indicate he will average just 4.4 innings on the mound and allow 2.5 earned runs. Despite being a bad pitcher by MLB standards, Melton’s performance could be pivotal against a Pirates offense that ranks 30th overall, including last in home runs.

The Pirates’ best hitter has shown a recent surge, posting a .412 batting average over the last week, which could make a significant impact against Melton. Meanwhile, the Tigers’ solid offensive ranking at 6th best in MLB suggests they should be able to capitalize on any mistakes made by Falter.

With the game total set at 9.0 runs, bettors should keep an eye on the Pirates’ potential to surprise after their recent victory, especially with the current moneyline favoring the Tigers at -135. As the teams meet for the third game in this series, expect an intriguing clash with plenty on the line for both sides.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-135)
  Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Over the last 7 days, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The underlying talent of the Detroit Tigers projected batting order today (.311 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .322 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  Bailey Falter is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #29 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Spencer Horwitz’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 87.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 77.8-mph over the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 98 games (+12.45 Units / 11% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+140/-180)
  Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)