Get Tickets Information for Brewers vs Yankees – 3/30/2025

Milwaukee Brewers

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New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees prepare to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on March 30, 2025, they come in with a strong 2-0 record this season, showcasing their potential for a promising campaign. The Yankees, currently favored with a moneyline of -140, are projected for a high team total of 4.54 runs. In contrast, the Brewers are struggling at 0-2, with an average implied team total of 3.96 runs, highlighting their difficulties early in the season.

This Interleague matchup will see Marcus Stroman take the mound for the Yankees. Despite being ranked as the 297th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system, he has shown some potential with projections of allowing 2.0 earned runs and striking out 3.9 batters today. However, his projections for 4.3 hits allowed and 2.0 walks are concerning, indicating a rocky performance may be on the horizon.

Aaron Civale, projected to start for the Brewers, faces a similar fate, ranked among the worst pitchers in the league. His projections are slightly better than Stroman’s in terms of earned runs, but his averages for 4.3 hits allowed and 1.8 walks also spell trouble for Milwaukee.

This game marks the third in the series, adding an extra layer of intensity. With the Yankees riding high and the Brewers struggling, the odds favor New York. Fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see if the Yankees can maintain their momentum against a Brewers team still searching for their first victory of the season.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Due to his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale figures to be at an advantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in today’s matchup.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Jake Bauers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Today, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Marcus Stroman – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Marcus Stroman’s 90.1-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 3rd percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge’s 27.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-145)
  The New York Yankees projected offense grades out as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games at home (+15.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 164 games (+9.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• Marcus Stroman – Over/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+110/-140)
  Marcus Stroman has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.50 Units / 53% ROI)