
Athletics
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Texas Rangers
+140O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-165
(-105/-115)-165
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)Jacob Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #21 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Jonah Heim – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)Jonah Heim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Cody Bradford – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)Cody Bradford has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed bats today.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Betting Trends
- Texas Rangers – Moneyline (-165)The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Corey Seager – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
