Get the White Sox vs Tigers Injury Report – Friday, April 04, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Detroit Tigers

On April 4, 2025, the Detroit Tigers will host the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park for the first game of their series. Both teams are struggling early in the season, each holding a record of 2-4. The Tigers are projected to start Jack Flaherty, who has a solid ERA of 3.18, while the White Sox will counter with Jonathan Cannon, who has yet to allow a run but has an xFIP of 3.66, suggesting he may not sustain his current success.

Despite the Tigers’ poor overall performance, their bullpen ranks 5th in MLB, indicating they have the potential to keep games close. Flaherty, currently the 58th best starting pitcher according to advanced stats, projects to pitch about 5.9 innings today, allowing 1.8 earned runs and striking out 7.3 batters on average. However, he does have a high projected hits allowed (4.2) and walks (1.7), which could create scoring opportunities for the White Sox.

The White Sox offense has been particularly underwhelming, ranking 35th in team batting average and 35th overall in offensive performance this season. While they boast a decent home run ranking at 15th, their overall lack of consistency at the plate could hinder their chances against a more stable Tigers bullpen.

With a Game Total set at a low 7.0 runs, the Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -235, reflecting a 68% implied win probability. The projections suggest that the Tigers, while not having an exceptional season, may find an edge in this matchup thanks to their stronger pitching and bullpen performance. Expect a competitive game, but one that favors Detroit given their current statistical advantages.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Jonathan Cannon – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonathan Cannon in the 17th percentile among all SPs in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+205)
  The 3rd-weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Javier Baez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Batters such as Javier Baez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jonathan Cannon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-240)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+19.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 away games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• Riley Greene – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)