Get the Marlins vs Braves Injury Report – Friday, August 08, 2025

Miami Marlins

@

Atlanta Braves

On August 8, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will host the Miami Marlins at Truist Park for the second game of their series. The Braves currently sit at 48-66, having had a disappointing season, while the Marlins are slightly better at 56-58. In their last matchup, the Braves managed to edge out the Marlins with an 8-6 victory, which may have provided a much-needed boost for a struggling Atlanta squad.

The Braves are projected to start Bryce Elder, who has had a tumultuous year with a 4-8 record and a troubling ERA of 6.03. However, he displayed improvement in his last start on August 1, pitching 7 innings with only 2 earned runs. Despite his overall struggles, Elder’s 4.19 xFIP suggests he may have been unlucky, indicating potential for a better performance going forward.

On the other side, the Marlins will send Edward Cabrera to the mound. Cabrera has been solid this season with a 5-5 record and a standout ERA of 3.24. His last outing was impressive, as he allowed just 1 earned run over 6 innings. Despite his strong numbers, projections indicate he may be due for some regression.

Offensively, the Braves rank 16th in MLB, showing average talent, while the Marlins sit slightly higher at 17th. Miami boasts a strong batting average, ranking 9th, but struggles with home runs, checking in at 23rd. The Braves’ best hitter has been consistent, recently posting a .364 batting average over the past week, while the Marlins’ top player has been on fire with a .450 average during the same period.

With the Braves’ current moneyline set at +110 and the Marlins at -130, betting markets suggest a close contest. The Game Total is currently set at 8.0 runs, indicating expectations for a moderate-scoring affair. As both teams look to build momentum, this matchup could be pivotal in determining their respective trajectories as the season progresses.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Edward Cabrera – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Edward Cabrera’s 95.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 91st percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Graham Pauley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Graham Pauley has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 79.3-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Dane Myers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Bryce Elder – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Bryce Elder (48.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Michael Harris II – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Michael Harris II has been unlucky this year, notching a .272 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .051 discrepancy.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-125)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+19.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)
  Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)