Get the Latest Score Updates for Red Sox vs D-Backs – Friday September 05, 2025

Boston Red Sox

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Arizona Diamondbacks

On September 5, 2025, the Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Boston Red Sox at Chase Field in an intriguing Interleague matchup. Both teams find themselves in the thick of the season, with the Diamondbacks sitting at 70-71, while the Red Sox boast a more favorable 78-63 record. Despite the D-Backs’ average standing, they have shown flashes of brilliance, especially with their offense ranking 5th in MLB, powered by a robust 194 home runs this season.

As the series opener, this game is critical for both teams. The Diamondbacks are projected to start Eduardo Rodriguez, who has had a mixed season with a 6-8 record and a 5.40 ERA. However, his 4.47 xFIP suggests he may have been unlucky, indicating potential for improvement. In contrast, the Red Sox will send Tolle to the mound. With a solid 3.38 ERA and a Power Rankings position of 50th among MLB starters, Tolle has been effective in his limited appearances, though he projects for just 4.5 innings today.

The matchup could favor the Diamondbacks, particularly due to their high-powered offense facing Tolle, a high-flyball pitcher (45% FB) who may be susceptible to the D-Backs’ slugging capabilities. The projections indicate a competitive game, with the D-Backs’ implied team total at 4.10 runs and the Red Sox at 4.40 runs.

Both teams are looking to capitalize on their strengths and exploit the other’s weaknesses, making this a must-watch game for fans and bettors alike. With the Diamondbacks’ strong offensive performance and Tolle’s pitching style, expect fireworks at Chase Field.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Tolle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  In his previous GS, Payton Tolle was firing on all cylinders and compiled 8 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Alex Bregman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alex Bregman has been very fortunate this year. His .366 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Boston Red Sox bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Tallying 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez ranks in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
  Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 67 of their last 125 games (+17.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-135)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 games (+16.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Alex Bregman – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+130/-170)
  Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)