Get the Injury Report for Rangers vs Mariners – Sunday April 13th, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Seattle Mariners

The Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers square off again on April 13, 2025, following the Mariners’ dominant 9-2 victory in the previous game. The Mariners currently sit at 7-8, struggling to find their rhythm this season, while the Rangers boast a stronger 9-6 record and are enjoying a great start.

Logan Gilbert is projected to take the mound for the Mariners. Although his 0-1 record doesn’t reflect it, his ERA of 2.55 indicates he has performed well but has been a bit unlucky, evidenced by his xFIP of 1.48. Gilbert is expected to pitch around 6.2 innings, allowing 2.1 earned runs and striking out 7.3 batters on average, putting him in a favorable position against a Rangers lineup that ranks as the worst in MLB in drawing walks.

On the other side, Nathan Eovaldi is projected to start for the Rangers, with a solid 2.29 ERA this season, but a concerning xERA of 3.75 suggests he may be due for a regression. He averages 5.8 innings per start, allowing 2.3 earned runs while striking out 6.3 batters. Like Gilbert, Eovaldi faces a challenging matchup; the Mariners’ powerful offense has recorded the 6th most home runs (18) this season.

Despite their recent success, both teams struggle offensively, with the Mariners ranked 20th and the Rangers 24th in MLB. The game total is set at a low 6.5 runs, indicating expectations for a tightly contested matchup. The Mariners have a low implied team total of 3.40 runs, which may not reflect their potential if Gilbert can dominate on the mound.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Nathan Eovaldi – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Among all SPs, Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball spin rate of 2189.2 rpm is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Kyle Higashioka – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert will “start” for Seattle Mariners in today’s game but will fill the role of an opener and may not pitch more than a couple framess.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Jorge Polanco – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Texas Rangers – Moneyline (+125)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)