Get the Injury Report for Mariners vs Rays – Tuesday September 2nd, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Tampa Bay Rays

On September 2, 2025, the Tampa Bay Rays will host the Seattle Mariners at George M. Steinbrenner Field in what promises to be a compelling matchup. Both teams are in the mix for playoff positioning, with the Mariners sitting at 73-65, while the Rays are just below .500 at 68-69. The Rays are coming off a tough loss in yesterday’s game against the Mariners, which adds pressure as they look to bounce back.

Projected starters Drew Rasmussen and Bryan Woo both boast impressive credentials, ranking 15th and 12th, respectively, among MLB starting pitchers according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Rasmussen has been solid this season, holding a 10-5 record and a stellar 2.64 ERA, but his 3.51 xFIP indicates he may have benefited from some luck. He projects to pitch only 4.9 innings today, which isn’t ideal, and he has struggled with walks, averaging 1.2 per start.

On the other hand, Woo, with a 12-7 record and a 2.95 ERA, has shown consistency and projects to pitch 5.9 innings. Although he has a low walk rate of 4.8%, he will face a Rays lineup that has been patient at the plate, ranking 4th in the league for fewest walks drawn. This matchup could favor Woo, especially since the Rays offense ranks just 16th overall.

The projections indicate a low-scoring affair, with a game total set at 7.5 runs. Both teams are projected to score 3.75 runs, suggesting a tight contest. With the Rays’ elite bullpen ranked 2nd in MLB, they may have the upper hand if the game remains close late. Given the stakes and the pitching matchups, expect a tightly contested game as both teams vie for crucial wins.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+140/-185)
  Tallying 19 outs per game per started this year on average, Bryan Woo checks in at the 98th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Drew Rasmussen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Drew Rasmussen has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 58.3% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Over the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Tampa Bay Rays – 2H Moneyline
  The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen projects as the best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 118 games (+11.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 130 games (+11.75 Units / 8% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 68% ROI)