Get the Injury Report for Braves vs Rockies – Tuesday April 29th, 2025

Atlanta Braves

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Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies will face the Atlanta Braves on April 29, 2025, at Coors Field in the second game of their series. The Rockies, struggling at 4-24 this season, are in dire need of a turnaround, while the Braves sit at 13-15, hovering around average. The Rockies’ woes have continued, highlighted by their recent losing streak. In their last game, they suffered a defeat that saw their offense struggle yet again.

German Marquez is projected to take the mound for the Rockies, marking his sixth start of the season. Currently, Marquez has an 0-4 record with an alarming ERA of 9.30, which places him among the weakest starters in MLB. Although his xFIP of 5.37 suggests he might have been unlucky, his projections indicate he will allow an average of 3.4 earned runs in 5.3 innings, which does little to inspire confidence.

On the opposite side, AJ Smith-Shawver is set to take the hill for the Braves. With a record of 0-2 and an ERA of 4.61, he has shown promise this season, particularly with a 26.2% strikeout rate. Smith-Shawver’s ability to generate strikeouts may play a critical role against the Rockies, who lead MLB in strikeouts. The projections suggest he will allow around 2.8 earned runs over 4.8 innings, indicating a potential edge in this matchup.

Offensively, the Rockies rank 28th in MLB and face a daunting task against the Braves, whose lineup ranks 10th overall. The Rockies’ best hitter has recently been performing well, despite the team’s struggles, and will be key in any attempts to mount an offense. Meanwhile, the Braves are expected to capitalize on their offensive strengths with a high team total of 6.05 runs for the game.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• AJ Smith-Shawver – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-175/+135)
  When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 77th percentile among all SPs in the league.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that the Atlanta Braves will score 6.07 runs on average in this game: the most of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• German Marquez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  German Marquez’s 94.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jordan Beck – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Jordan Beck has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Compared to their .314 overall projected rate, the .295 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup today suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+145/-185)
  Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)