
Los Angeles Dodgers
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St. Louis Cardinals
-170O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+150
(-110/-110)+150
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Emmet Sheehan projects to strikeout 5.3 batters in this game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-170)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense ranks as the strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)Matthew Liberatore’s four-seamer usage has risen by 6.4% from last season to this one (29% to 35.4%) .Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Jordan Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Jordan Walker has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.2% rate last year to 19.4% this season.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- St. Louis Cardinals batters as a group rank 10th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 92.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Betting Trends
- St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)Andy Pages has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+8.85 Units / 89% ROI)
