Get the Dodgers vs Cardinals Injury Report – Friday, May 01, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Emmet Sheehan will give up an average of 2.05 earned runs in this outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Los Angeles Dodgers in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .345, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .356 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Matthew Liberatore’s four-seamer usage has risen by 6.4% from last season to this one (29% to 35.4%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Alec Burleson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Alec Burleson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 8th-best among all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+195/-260)
  Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games at home (+7.95 Units / 159% ROI)