Get the Cardinals vs Brewers Injury Report – Sunday, June 15, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals

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Milwaukee Brewers

As the Milwaukee Brewers host the St. Louis Cardinals on June 15, 2025, both teams find themselves in a closely contested race in the National League Central. The Brewers currently hold a record of 38-34, while the Cardinals are just behind at 37-34. This matchup is crucial, especially following a competitive series that has seen both teams trading wins, and it will be the fourth game between them in this series.

In their most recent outing, the Brewers fell to the Cardinals, which adds extra pressure as they look to even the score at American Family Field. Milwaukee’s Quinn Priester is set to take the mound, projecting to pitch an average of 5.4 innings and allowing 2.4 earned runs. While Priester ranks as the 129th best starting pitcher in MLB, his ERA of 3.65 is solid, though his underlying metrics suggest he may have been a bit fortunate this season.

On the other hand, the Cardinals will counter with Miles Mikolas, who is unfortunately regarded as one of the worst pitchers in the league according to advanced metrics. He comes into this game with an ERA of 4.48 and a projection to allow 2.7 earned runs over 5.2 innings. However, his FIP of 3.77 indicates that he may see an uptick in performance if luck shifts his way.

Offensively, both teams have had their struggles this season, with the Brewers ranking 25th in overall offense and 23rd in batting average. The Cardinals, while not setting the world on fire, boast a more respectable 13th overall ranking in offense, highlighted by their 5th best team batting average. Despite their weaker power numbers, the Cardinals have shown more consistency on the offensive side.

With a tightly set Game Total of 8.5 runs and the Brewers holding a -130 moneyline, oddsmakers expect this game to be tightly contested. As both teams vie for supremacy in the division, expect a showdown that could go down to the wire.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Miles Mikolas – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Miles Mikolas’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.6 mph this season (91.5 mph) below where it was last season (93.1 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Arenado tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen ranks as the 10th-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Quinn Priester – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Quinn Priester (52.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in St. Louis’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Brice Turang is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Run Line +1.5 (-180)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• Willson Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+175)
  Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)