Get Expert Player Predictions for Angels vs Braves – July 01, 2025

Los Angeles Angels

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Atlanta Braves

On July 1, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will host the Los Angeles Angels at Truist Park for the first game of their interleague matchup. The Braves enter the game with a record of 38-45, struggling this season, while the Angels sit at 41-42, showcasing an average performance. The Braves will look to turn things around against an Angels team that has recently shown some offensive potency.

The Braves are projected to start Didier Fuentes, who has struggled mightily this season with an 0-2 record and an alarming ERA of 10.80. In contrast, the Angels will counter with Tyler Anderson, a left-handed pitcher with a 2-5 record and a more manageable ERA of 4.41. However, despite the better ERA, Anderson’s 4.93 xFIP suggests he might have benefited from some good fortune this year.

Offensively, the Braves rank 21st in MLB, indicating they’ve had difficulty generating consistent runs. They have had a particularly tough time on the basepaths, ranking 27th in stolen bases. Conversely, while the Angels’ offense ranks 22nd overall, they boast a powerful home run capability, ranking 4th with 124 home runs this season. This could spell trouble for Fuentes, who is a flyball pitcher facing a team adept at turning those into dingers.

Betting lines show Atlanta favored with a moneyline of -160, indicating they are expected to come out on top, especially with a projected team total of 5.23 runs. However, the Braves will need more than just favorable odds; they will require a revitalized performance from both Fuentes and their lineup to secure a victory against the dangerous Angels.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Tyler Anderson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Tyler Anderson has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 8 opposite-handed bats today.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  This season, Jo Adell has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.6 mph compared to last year’s 94.1 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Moore, Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Jorge Soler, Mike Trout).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-160)
  Out of all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Typically, batters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tyler Anderson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Atlanta Braves’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 67 games (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+140)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)