Game Highlights for Giants vs D-Backs – June 29, 2026

San Francisco Giants

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Arizona Diamondbacks

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Given the 0.74 deviation between Tyler Mahle’s 8.81 K/9 and his 8.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.
  Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Eric Haase, Jonah Cox).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-170/+135)
  Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 11th percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Arizona Diamondbacks hitters jointly rank near the bottom of baseball this year ( 6th-worst) in regard to their 88.2-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-150/+115)
  Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)