Follow Live Updates on Marlins vs Cubs – Thursday, September 24th, 2026

Miami Marlins

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Chicago Cubs

Miami Marlins Insights

• Deyvison De Los Santos – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-110/-120)
  Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Deyvison De Los Santos, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Miami Marlins’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Matthew Boyd – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Matthew Boyd is projected to throw 5.0 IP in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Michael Conforto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  In today’s matchup, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.8% rate (99th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.60 Units / 53% ROI)