Find the TV Channel Information for Rays vs Dodgers – 8/23/24

Tampa Bay Rays

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Los Angeles Dodgers

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face the Tampa Bay Rays on August 23, 2024, they continue to solidify their position in the standings. With a record of 76-52, the Dodgers are enjoying a strong season, while the Rays, at 64-63, are struggling to find their footing. This matchup marks the first game of the series, and the stakes are high for both sides, especially for the Rays as they look to improve their average season performance.

In their last outings, the Dodgers secured an impressive 8-4 victory against the Seattle Mariners, showcasing their powerful offense that ranks 5th in MLB. Contrastingly, the Rays fell to the Oakland Athletics, losing 3-1, further highlighting their offensive struggles as they sit at 25th in the league.

On the mound, the Dodgers will send Bobby Miller, a right-handed pitcher whose year has been marked by inconsistency, currently holding an ERA of 8.02. However, advanced projections suggest that he may have been unlucky, as his xFIP of 4.81 indicates potential for improvement. Miller’s ability to induce ground balls (48 GB%) could play to his advantage against a Rays lineup that has shown limited power, ranking 26th in home runs this season.

Tyler Alexander, the left-handed pitcher for the Rays, has had a challenging season as well, with a 5.17 ERA. His high fly-ball rate (40 FB%) could spell trouble against the Dodgers’ powerful offense, which ranks 3rd in home runs with 139. The projections indicate that the Dodgers could score around 5.67 runs, solidifying their status as favorites in this matchup.

With a current moneyline of -195 and an implied team total of 5.21 runs, the Dodgers appear poised for another strong performance, while the Rays will need a significant turnaround to compete effectively.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tyler Alexander – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Tyler Alexander will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jonny Deluca – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Jonny Deluca has been unlucky this year, notching a .238 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .055 gap.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  In today’s game, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.6% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Bobby Miller – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Over his previous 3 starts, Bobby Miller has experienced a substantial drop off in his fastball spin rate: from 2304 rpm over the whole season to 2225 rpm lately.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• Gavin Lux – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  In the last 7 days, Gavin Lux’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 16.7%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-200)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order projects as the best on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-200)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+6.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 75 of their last 122 games (+25.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• Alex Jackson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-155/+120)
  Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)