Find the TV Channel Information for Guardians vs Rays – 9/7/25

Cleveland Guardians

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Tampa Bay Rays

On September 7, 2025, the Tampa Bay Rays will host the Cleveland Guardians at George M. Steinbrenner Field in an intriguing American League matchup. Both teams are locked in a battle for relevance this season, with the Rays sitting at 71-71 and the Guardians at 71-70. Yesterday, the Guardians edged out the Rays in a close contest, winning 3-2, which adds an extra layer of intensity to today’s game as Tampa Bay looks to even the score.

The Rays are projected to start Drew Rasmussen, who has been a bright spot for the team with a solid 10-5 record and a stellar 2.74 ERA, ranking him as the 17th best starting pitcher in MLB. However, his 3.60 xFIP indicates that he may have benefited from some good luck this season. Rasmussen’s average projections for today include 5.1 innings pitched and 2.0 earned runs allowed, which should keep the Rays competitive.

On the other side, the Guardians will counter with Parker Messick, who has had a rough start to his rookie season with a 1-0 record and a commendable 2.08 ERA, but his 3.20 xFIP suggests he might not maintain this level of performance. Messick’s projections indicate he may struggle today, with an average of 4.9 innings pitched and 2.8 earned runs allowed.

While the Rays’ offense ranks 14th overall, it boasts the 9th best batting average and an impressive 1st ranking in stolen bases. In contrast, the Guardians’ offense has struggled significantly, ranking dead last in the league. Given the disparity in offensive output and the strength of the Rays’ bullpen, which is ranked 1st, Tampa Bay appears to have the edge in this matchup. With a moneyline of -160, the Rays are positioned as favorites, suggesting that the odds may favor their chances to rebound from yesterday’s loss.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Parker Messick – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Parker Messick faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Nolan Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.316) may lead us to conclude that Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck this year with his .277 actual wOBA.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Drew Rasmussen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Out of all SPs, Drew Rasmussen’s fastball spin rate of 2489 rpm ranks in the 91st percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Josh Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
  Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Tampa Bay Rays have 5 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Josh Lowe, Brandon Lowe, Christopher Morel, Everson Pereira, Carson Williams).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 114 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 103 games (+8.74 Units / 7% ROI)
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+195/-260)
  Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)