Explore the Top Player Prop Picks for Braves vs Dodgers – May 10th, 2026

Atlanta Braves

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Bryce Elder – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bryce Elder has utilized his secondary offerings 7.8% more often this year (53.4%) than he did last year (45.6%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Mauricio Dubon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)
  Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  The Atlanta Braves bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)
  Justin Wrobleski’s 2416-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+210/-280)
  Dalton Rushing’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 75.5-mph in the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+115)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)